2019 EnerOutlook 요약은 다양한 지역 내 EnerBlue 시나리오의 주요 내용을 담고 있습니다. 2019 Eneroutlook 요약을 다운 받아보세요.
요약분을 통해 시나리오의 주요 가설에 대한 상세 정보와 2040년까지의 미래 에너지 시스템 관련 정보 및 그래프를 보실 수 있습니다.
According to the Carbon Tracker Initiative (UK), since 2018, major oil & gas companies have approved around US$50bn of new investments that will not be able to thrive if countries comply with the Paris Agreement's goal to keep global temperature rise below 1.5-2˚C. A further US$21bn non-Paris-aligned project pipeline is set to be approved by end-2019.
According to a recent report, the World Nuclear Association foresees that the world's uranium resources are enough to respond to the nuclear reactor's demand beyond 2040. The current level of uranium production, which fell 14% between 2016 and 2018 (to 53,498 tU) is preventing further development of the technology. The global uranium production is expected to decrease between 2035-2040, when 25% of mines will reach lifespan, to as low as 48,100 tU (2040). Eventually, new supply will be required which means the industry needs to at least double projected primary uranium production by 2040 (including current, idled, under development and planned prospective projects).
A new study published by the Swiss government considers it is realistic for Switzerland to generate 37,400 GWh from hydro by 2035, up from the theoretical hydropower generation of 35,990 GWh on 1 January 2019. However, to meet the target defined by the Energy Act, an average net development of 85 GWh/year is required in the coming years (it has been 87 GWh/year since 2011).
According to the Socioeconomic Planning Secretary of the Philippines, energy demand in the Philippines could increase by an average 5.7%/year through 2040 under a high economic growth scenario, resulting in a four-fold increase in energy consumption. Indeed, energy consumption in the archipelago has been rising rapidly since 2010 by over 5%/year through 2017.
